The world’s best male and female players will be crowned a few hours from now.  The winners of the two Ballon d’Or awards – for their performances last season – will be announced at a ceremony at Theatre du Chatelet in Paris.  But which of the 30 nominees that were announced last month are most likely to win?  We have analysed how six of the key contenders for each prize performed last season, using statistics from 2024-25 – across all club competitions for the men and all league matches for the women.
1. Ousmane Dembele (Paris St-Germain)
Games played: 53 Minutes played: 3,483 Goals: 35 Assists: 14 Goal contributions: 49 Minutes per goal: 99.5 Minutes per goal contribution: 71.1 Â
Ousmane Dembele played a key role in helping Paris St-Germain win Ligue 1, become European champions for the first time and reach the final of the Club World Cup.  He scored 21 goals from 29 games in Ligue 1 to end the campaign as joint-top scorer. He was also named in the division’s team of the season and won the player of the year award.  The 28-year-old was also the Champions League’s player of the season after eight goals and six assists in the tournament, including two assists in the 5-0 final win against Inter Milan.  Dembele then scored in the Club World Cup quarter-final and semi-final victories over Bayern Munich and Real Madrid, respectively.
2. Harry Kane (Bayern Munich)
Games played: 51 Minutes played: 3,955 Goals: 41 Assists: 12 Goal contributions: 53 Minutes per goal: 96.5 Minutes per goal contribution: 74.6 Â
England’s record goalscorer claimed the first major trophy of his career when he inspired Bayern Munich to the Bundesliga title.  The 32-year-old netted 26 league goals to top the Bundesliga scoring charts, including three hat-tricks.  In September, he scored 10 goals in 11 days, starting with two for England against Finland in the Nations League on 10 September.  He got three more in Bayern’s 6-1 league victory on Holsten Kiel three days later, scored four in Bayern’s 9-2 Champions League thrashing of Dinamo Zagreb on 17 September and one in his club’s 5-0 win at Werder Bremen on 21 September.
3. Kylian Mbappe (Real Madrid)
Games played: 59 Minutes played: 4,742 Goals: 44 Assists: 5 Goal contributions: 49 Minutes per goal: 107.7 Minutes per goal contribution: 96.8 Â
The France forward ended his first season in Spain as the top goalscorer in La Liga, his tally of 31 goals being four better than Barcelona’s Robert Lewandowski.  Mbappe’s total came from 34 matches and included hat-tricks against Valladolid and Barcelona. He also scored a treble to eliminate Manchester City in the Champions League knockout play-off round.  The 26-year-old became only the third player to score 50 goals for France, a figure he reached in June when he helped his country finish third in the Nations League.
4. Raphinha (Barcelona)
Games played: 57 Minutes played: 4,661 Goals: 34 Assists: 22 Goal contributions: 56 Minutes per goal: 137.1 Minutes per goal contribution: 83.2
Raphinha helped Barcelona win three trophies in 2024-25 – La Liga, the Copa del Rey and the Supercopa de Espana., His 18 goals and nine assists earned him La Liga’s player of the season award., The 28-year-old Brazil forward, who moved to Barcelona from Leeds United in 2022, also ended as the joint-top scorer in the Champions League, finding the net 13 times in 14 games including a hat-trick in a 4-1 win over Bayern Munich., Mohamed Salah, Liverpool, 661 Goals: 34 Assists: 22 Goal contributions: 56 Minutes per goal: 137.1 Minutes per goal contribution: 83.2
5. Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)
Games played: 52, Minutes played: 4, 497 Goals: 34, Assists: 23, Goal contributions: 57, Minutes per goal: 132.3, Minutes per goal contribution: 78.9
Mohamed Salah played a huge role in helping Liverpool become English champions for the 20th time., His 29 goals and 18 assists gave him a total of 47 Premier League goal involvements, tying the record for the most in a 38-game season., His goals tally also secured him the Golden Boot – the fourth time he has won it, a record shared with Arsenal legend Thierry Henry. The 33-year-old was also named the Premier League’s player of the year for a second time., The Egypt forward scored three times in the Champions League before Liverpool lost to eventual winners Paris St-Germain in the last 16., 497 Goals: 34 Assists: 23 Goal contributions: 57 Minutes per goal: 132.3 Minutes per goal contribution: 78.9
6. Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)
Games played: 55, Minutes played: 4, 548 Goals: 18, Assists: 21, Goal contributions: 39, Minutes per goal: 252.7, Minutes per goal contribution: 116.6
The 18-year-old winger helped Barcelona to the Spanish treble of La Liga, the Copa del Rey and the Supercopa de Espana., He won La Liga’s player of the month award in September and was in the La Liga and Champions League teams of the season., He scored twice for Spain in their 5-4 win over France in the Nations League semi-final, although the side lost on penalties in the final to Portugal.
The best of the rest
Former Manchester United midfielder Scott McTominay is the first Scot to be nominated for the award since former Rangers striker Ally McCoist in 1987., The 28-year-old guided Napoli to the league title during his debut campaign at the club last term following a £25m move from Old Trafford.
Arsenal pair Declan Rice and Viktor Gyokeres are named, while Liverpool quartet Virgil van Dijk, Alexis Mac Allister, Mohamed Salah and Florian Wirtz have been nominated., Chelsea playmaker Cole Palmer is the only other candidate from the Premier League.
